Chaos Rising Pull Rates & Chase Cards — Mega Greninja Leads the Pack
Mega Evolution — Chaos Rising drops on May 22, 2026, and Mega Greninja ex is already the most anticipated chase card of the year. With 122 cards in the set and a stacked lineup of Secret Illustration Rares, Mega Hyper Rares, and full art trainers, here is a complete breakdown of the expected pull rates and every card worth chasing when you crack your first packs.
Chaos Rising Set Overview
Chaos Rising is the fourth expansion in the Mega Evolution block, following Ascended Heroes, Perfect Order, and the Japanese Ninja Spinner set it draws from. The set contains 122 cards — a smaller, tighter pool compared to the 290-plus cards in Ascended Heroes. Smaller sets generally mean better odds of hitting specific chase cards, which is good news for collectors targeting the headline pulls. The theme centres on unstable Mega Evolution energy in Lumiose City, with Mega Greninja ex, Mega Pyroar ex, Mega Floette ex, and Mega Dragalge ex headlining the set. Prereleases begin on May 9, two weeks before the full launch, and Build & Battle Boxes will offer the first chance to open Chaos Rising packs.
Expected Pull Rates by Rarity
Based on the Mega Evolution pull rate structure established in Ascended Heroes and Perfect Order, here is what to expect from Chaos Rising booster packs. Standard Pokemon ex cards appear roughly once every four to five packs. Full Art Pokemon ex cards land at approximately one per 15 to 18 packs. Illustration Rares show up around one per 18 to 20 packs — these are the artistic premium cards that drive collector demand. Special Illustration Rares are the rarest standard pulls at roughly one per 40 to 50 packs. Mega Hyper Rares, the gold-textured ultra-premium tier introduced in the Mega Evolution block, sit at approximately one per 60 to 80 packs, making them the hardest pulls in any given box. A standard booster display of 36 packs should yield around seven to nine Pokemon ex, two full arts, one to two Illustration Rares, and a chance at a Special Illustration Rare or Mega Hyper Rare.
The Top Chase Card — Mega Greninja ex SIR
Mega Greninja ex Special Illustration Rare is projected to be the single most valuable card in Chaos Rising and one of the most expensive modern Pokemon cards of the year. Greninja has surged in popularity across the collecting community — it now sits alongside Charizard and Gengar as a top-tier chase Pokemon. The SIR treatment gives the card a full-bleed panoramic artwork that showcases Greninja in its Mega-evolved form. Pre-release hype on social media and early Japanese market data from Ninja Spinner suggest this card will open at a premium price point and sustain strong demand. If you are buying Chaos Rising booster boxes specifically to chase a single card, this is the one most collectors are targeting.
Other Chase Cards Worth Targeting
Beyond Mega Greninja, Chaos Rising has several high-value pulls to watch. Mega Pyroar ex SIR brings a fan-favourite Fire type with striking artwork that should appeal to Charizard-adjacent collectors. Mega Floette ex and Mega Dragalge ex round out the Mega ex lineup — while less hyped than Greninja, their Illustration Rare variants could be sleeper hits for set collectors. The Mega Hyper Rare versions of each headliner carry the gold-textured treatment that has become the ultimate chase tier in the Mega Evolution block — Mega Gengar ex Mega Hyper Rare from Ascended Heroes currently trades near AED 2,400, establishing a price ceiling that Mega Greninja could approach. Full art Trainer cards and Supporter SIRs are also worth watching, as competitive staples in this rarity tier tend to hold value long-term.
Booster Box Odds and Value Expectations
A Chaos Rising booster display contains 36 packs. Based on Mega Evolution era pull rate patterns, the average box should contain roughly eight Pokemon ex cards, two full art ex cards, one to two Illustration Rares, and approximately a 50 to 65 percent chance of pulling at least one Special Illustration Rare. Mega Hyper Rares appear roughly once every two boxes on average. The smaller 122-card set works in your favour here — with fewer cards in the pool, your odds of hitting a specific chase card like Mega Greninja ex SIR are better than they were in the 290-card Ascended Heroes. For collectors looking to maximise value, sealed booster boxes offer the best pull rate consistency compared to individual packs or booster bundles.
Prerelease Strategy — May 9 to May 22
Chaos Rising prereleases run from May 9 through May 22. Build & Battle Boxes will include four Chaos Rising booster packs plus exclusive prerelease promo cards. Prerelease promos carry a stamped logo that makes them collectible in their own right, and the four boosters give you an early shot at chase pulls before the full launch. If you pulled well from Perfect Order prereleases, the same strategy applies — attend early, protect your pulls immediately, and trade duplicates with other attendees to build towards a complete set. After the prerelease window, the full product lineup launches on May 22 including booster displays, Elite Trainer Boxes, and collection boxes.
Where to Pre-Order Chaos Rising in the UAE
Apex Vault will stock Chaos Rising booster displays, Elite Trainer Boxes, and collection boxes from launch day. Pre-orders open ahead of the May 22 release — follow us on Instagram for the exact date and early access links. All orders ship across the UAE with free delivery on orders over AED 150. If you are planning to chase Mega Greninja ex SIR, buying sealed booster boxes gives you the best odds and the best per-pack value. Check our sealed products page for current Chaos Rising availability and pricing in AED.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are the pull rates for Chaos Rising?
A Chaos Rising booster box (36 packs) typically yields 7-9 Pokemon ex, 2 full art ex, 1-2 Illustration Rares, and roughly a 50-65% chance of a Special Illustration Rare. Mega Hyper Rares appear about once every two boxes.
What is the most valuable card in Chaos Rising?
Mega Greninja ex Special Illustration Rare is projected to be the most valuable card in Chaos Rising, based on early Japanese market data from the Ninja Spinner set and massive pre-release hype.
How many packs are in a Chaos Rising booster box?
A Chaos Rising booster display contains 36 booster packs, the standard count for Pokemon TCG booster boxes.
When does Chaos Rising release?
Mega Evolution — Chaos Rising releases on May 22, 2026. Prerelease events with Build & Battle Boxes begin on May 9, 2026.
What are the best chase cards in Chaos Rising?
The top chase cards are Mega Greninja ex SIR, Mega Greninja ex Mega Hyper Rare, Mega Pyroar ex SIR, Mega Floette ex Illustration Rare, and Mega Dragalge ex Illustration Rare.